The ONS monitors price changes over the previous 12 months to calculate inflation.
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Dimon shared his thinking with various outlets, but explained to Bloomberg: “We look at risk, at the broad range of outcomes, and there are negative outcomes. One of them would be inflation; I call it the skunk at the party. It’s been coming down, but it seems to maybe have leveled off around 3%. If things make it go up—and this is only one thing; you can look at medical prices, construction prices, insurance prices, wages—inflation is a big thing. It’s not just oil, so we’ll say.…this will add a little bit, a teeny bit to inflation.”